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simon64

Bencher
Premium Member
Tipping Member
With the first round 47 days away, I thought I'd check out Centrebet.

The market is pretty interesting. A few things strike me.

1. Souths second favourites ? I think they'll actually slide a bit this year.
2. Some teams are pretty short. $12 for the Scumdogs ? $26 for St Merge ?
3. $1.33 for Manly to make the 8 ? Can't see Manly missing the 8. Seems like a pretty safe bet even though it's not a big return.

Anyone else surprised by any of the prices or does it seem about right ?

NRL Futures
 
simon64 said:
With the first round 47 days away, I thought I'd check out Centrebet.

The market is pretty interesting. A few things strike me.

1. Souths second favourites ? I think they'll actually slide a bit this year.
2. Some teams are pretty short. $12 for the Scumdogs ? $26 for St Merge ?
3. $1.33 for Manly to make the 8 ? Can't see Manly missing the 8. Seems like a pretty safe bet even though it's not a big return.

Anyone else surprised by any of the prices or does it seem about right ?

NRL Futures

Agree with your assessment on souths, I think last year was the year they had to win, and they missed it (mmmm life is good!). They have lost a lot of depth (I think the loss of Peats could be big), and I don't think they have recruited too much.

Still think the Roosters are going to find this season a lot tougher than a lot of their fans think. Still believe they will be around that top 4/5, but not minor premiers.
 
Friday, 26 September 2014 1:00 AM
Premiers
To Make GF
Minor Premiers
Top 4
Top 8
Miss Top 8
Sydney
4.75
2.50
4.00
1.60
1.15
5.00
South Sydney
7.00
3.50
5.50
1.75
1.17
4.65
Manly
8.50
4.25
6.50
2.00
1.33
3.15
Melbourne
8.50
4.25
6.50
2.00
1.33
3.15
Canterbury
12.00
6.00
13.00
3.25
1.65
2.20
Brisbane
13.00
6.50
15.00
4.00
1.80
1.95
North Qld
13.00
6.50
15.00
3.75
1.70
2.08
New Zealand
13.00
6.50
15.00
3.25
1.70
2.08
Newcastle
15.00
7.50
17.00
4.25
1.85
1.90
Cronulla
21.00
10.00
26.00
5.00
2.10
1.68
Penrith
21.00
10.00
26.00
5.00
1.95
1.80
St George
26.00
13.00
34.00
7.00
2.75
1.42
Gold Coast
34.00
17.00
41.00
7.00
3.00
1.36
Canberra
41.00
21.00
51.00
8.00
3.50
1.28
Wests
51.00
26.00
67.00
8.00
3.50
1.28
Parramatta
67.00
34.00
101.00
15.00
4.50
1.18
 
The link should take you to the prices but thanks for doing that C&C.
 
I don't think the bookies are being overly generous with Parra paying $67 as Premiers this year. A million to one is a bit more realistic.
 
At this stage of the year the betting is all over the shop. I think it's about where you'd expect it to be. Check them again after round 10.

Souths have lost Peats, but they picked up Joe Picker from the Raiders. Picker is no super star, but he's no slouch either. I think the loss of a good finisher in Everingham (gone to Japanese Rugby) might hurt them.

WHEN WILL THE BLOODY FOOTY START??!!! I can't stand the off season :(
 
mozgrame said:
At this stage of the year the betting is all over the shop. I think it's about where you'd expect it to be. Check them again after round 10.

Souths have lost Peats, but they picked up Joe Picker from the Raiders. Picker is no super star, but he's no slouch either. I think the loss of a good finisher in Everingham (gone to Japanese Rugby) might hurt them.

WHEN WILL THE BLOODY FOOTY START??!!! I can't stand the off season :(

Only 46 days to go Mozzie , chill out brother . Dont usually watch ODI'S but watched the last few overs and that was really exciting ! One might say a Faulkin' good knock lol
 
Las Vegas Blvd said:
mozgrame said:
At this stage of the year the betting is all over the shop. I think it's about where you'd expect it to be. Check them again after round 10.

Souths have lost Peats, but they picked up Joe Picker from the Raiders. Picker is no super star, but he's no slouch either. I think the loss of a good finisher in Everingham (gone to Japanese Rugby) might hurt them.

WHEN WILL THE BLOODY FOOTY START??!!! I can't stand the off season :(

Only 46 days to go Mozzie , chill out brother . Dont usually watch ODI'S but watched the last few overs and that was really exciting ! One might say a Faulkin' good knock lol

I hope you're right LVB. I was at the botanical gardens zoo here today and found myself staring at a chimp as it ate its own ****e. At least I haven't hit the low he has found himself at. Haha!!

I did find it briefly amusing though, so I may not be as far from the bottom as I think. It's a slippery slope the old boredom.
 
simon64 said:
3. $1.33 for Manly to make the 8 ? Can't see Manly missing the 8. Seems like a pretty safe bet even though it's not a big return.

NRL Futures


An old and well known racing saying is "never take odds on and never run up stairs"


PS I thought this thread was about Paddys, Queen Victoria, Flemington, Mindil Beach etc...
 
bob dylan said:
PS I thought this thread was Paddys, Queen Victoria, Flemington, Mindil Beach etc

Nah, if it was, then it would be here but in the General Discussion forum :p :)
 
bob dylan said:
simon64 said:
3. $1.33 for Manly to make the 8 ? Can't see Manly missing the 8. Seems like a pretty safe bet even though it's not a big return.

NRL Futures


An old and well known racing saying is "never take odds on and never run up stairs"

Have to agree Bob. Have to put too much on to make it worthwhile
I'd say the price for winning the title won't get much longer throughout the season though.
 

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