How many wins to make the 8?

[Phobia]

When we finish 8th who are we likely to play in week 1?

Penrith 💀

 

[globaleagle]

I dunno about how many wins, but all the media keep reporting how the wests tigers can still make the 8, whilst Manly's run is done - even though we're on 2 more comp points than them.

#notrealjournos

 

[Brookie Bob]

https://www.reddit.com/r/nrl/comments/1mz8z0h/2025_r25_how_high_low_can_they_go

 

[Brookie1973]

I dunno about how many wins, but all the media keep reporting how the wests tigers can still make the 8, whilst Manly's run is done - even though we're on 2 more comp points than them.

#notrealjournos

And we have a much better F&A. I’m guessing they are trying to keep the tigers fans interested as long as possible.

 

[Brookie1973]

Penrith 💀

Well that’s a buzz kill.

 

[manly al]

Pretty much blew it the previous week against the West Tigers , not to mention the Knights debacle
just could not keep it going in the practical sense however even if they were able to make a lower top 8 position with Ola out and an underdone Paseka
Still , just that extra bit of interest and satisfaction if one 's side can at least get to a play off position and hopefully making a real effort to battle on irrespective of the long odds of going any further

 

[Mark from Brisbane]

Pretty much blew it the previous week against the West Tigers , not to mention the Knights debacle
just could not keep it going in the practical sense however even if they were able to make a lower top 8 position with Ola out and an underdone Paseka
Still , just that extra bit of interest and satisfaction if one 's side can at least get to a play off position and hopefully making a real effort to battle on irrespective of the long odds of going any further

As much as it would be great to sneak into the 8th position you know , I know , everyone knows , with the list we have out we will be blown off the park , out in straight sets.

I’m not sure what’s worse , not making the 8, or watching a capitulation in the semi finals in our first game.

 

[jbb/james]

Manly only need 4 wins to make the 8 with 2 games remaining
Fingers crossed

 

[frank stokes]

Penrith 💀

The roosters would have to fall off a cliff so it is ridiculously unlikely we play finals… but… there is a scenario in play where we beat the warriors to make finals and then play them Week 1…

 

[SeaEagleRock8]

I’m not sure what’s worse , not making the 8, or watching a capitulation in the semi finals in our first game

That's easy. Far worse not to even make the 8.
For one thing, it adds an entire week to an already painfully long off-season.

 

[SeaEagleRock8]

The roosters would have to fall off a cliff so it is ridiculously unlikely

They're outsiders this week but will be big favourites against Souths, although Souths will probably give it red hot crack.
Most likely our demise will come though failing to win both of our final games (or even any of them, sad to say!!)

 

[frank stokes]

They're outsiders this week but will be big favourites against Souths, although Souths will probably give it red hot crack.
Most likely our demise will come though failing to win both of our final games (or even any of them, sad to say!!)

Yeah I don’t think vermin beat rorters abnd confident they lose next week but us winning against dragoons and warriors is definitely the hard part based on our form…
For and against also… we may put points on dragoons but unlikely to do so against NZ and similarly, drizzle may rack some up on rorters but not likely to be 30+… and they could blow vermin away…

 

[Mark from Brisbane]

They're outsiders this week but will be big favourites against Souths, although Souths will probably give it red hot crack.
Most likely our demise will come though failing to win both of our final games (or even any of them, sad to say!!)

We are dusted , I’d say the chances of making the 8 about 0.74%

 

[SeaEagleRock8]

We are dusted , I’d say the chances of making the 8 about 0.74%

Someone last nite on tv suggested now about $8 to make the finals. Which is rank outsider. But if we get through this weekend with a Manly win and Chook loss that might drop to $3 or $4 - regular long shot odds

would then rely on 2 upsets (Manly win v Wahs and Chook loss v Souths)

 

[johnperi01]

Would expect Storm to beat Roosters comfortably with Hughes back and no Sam Walker.
Rabbitohs always fire up against their arch rivals and with Mitchell and Cam Murray due back, I rate them a big chance
Hardest part will be beating Dragons at one of our bogey grounds Jubilee.

 

[Mark from Brisbane]

I guess we can dream but that’s all it is.

 

[frank stokes]

Hardest part will be beating Dragons at one of our bogey grounds Jubilee.

Surely better than WIN Stadium? That place is an 🦅 🪦 🪦🪦…

 

[frank stokes]

We are forgetting the Finns too… they probs beat Tits this week and then may play a Raiders line-up assured of a home semi and resting players… currently have the best F&A too…
They need to tighten up their defence but big chance they could get over the top of both us and the rorters…

 

[JenEagle]

That performance against the tigers last week was an absolute disgrace.

Forget what happened with the Gold Coast and the knights which was also bad.

To turn up and play like we did against the tigers with the season on the line and for Dce to play one of the worst games I’ve ever seen from a half was just not acceptable.

I don’t care that Dce had a good game against the dolphins. We needed the most experienced playmaker in the comp to get us home the week before. Instead he threw terrible passes, refused to tackle and then just brushed it all off and had a blinder for his 350th so the media is now forgetting the awful performance the week before.

 

[JakeyB789]

• Beat both Dragons and Warriors (unlikely given our form and consistency this year)
• Roosters lose to both Storm (likely with Walker out) and Rabbitohs (unlikely, but Souffs coming off the bye with a chance to knock their arch rivals out AND the potential of AJ breaking the record.. I'd at least like to see it)
• Dolphins lose to either of Titans (unlikely) or Raiders (possibly, depends if Canberra already have top spot sewn up and are resting players or not)

Just seems like we need way too many things to go our way to make it, decent chance we miss out on F/A which would be frustrating given some of the poor losses we've had this year. But it is that reason we don't deserve to make it anyway, can't lose to 5 bottom sides in the Tigers, Dragons, Eels, Knights and Titans during the year and expect to be a top 8 team. Fluking our way in from here and getting dusted in week 1 would only paper over the cracks anyway so it's probably best we miss out, wouldn't it be great to see the Phins sneak in over the Roosters though.