Pre-Game Manly V Souths [Round 18, 2025]

[Jethro]

Manly V Souths [Round 18, 2025]


MATCH DAY

Sunday 06 July 2025.

Venue:.... 4 Pines Park, Brookvale, NSW

Gates Open:.... TBA.

Jersey Flegg Cup Kick Off Time:.... Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles V Saint George Illawarra Dragons: 12:00pm.

NSW Cup Kick Off Time:.... Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles V Saint George Illawarra Dragons: 1:45pm.

NRL Kick Off Time:.... Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles V South Sydney Rabbitohs: 4:05pm.


TICKETING

VS

Click here

https://www.ticketmaster.com.au/event/13006230D50D18D0

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Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles

01. Lehi Hopoate
02. Jason Saab
03. Tolutau Koula
04. Tom Trbojevic
05. Reuben Garrick
06. Luke Brooks
07. Daly Cherry-Evans (C)

08. Matthew Lodge
09. Jazz Tevaga
10. Siosiua Taukei'aho
11. Corey Waddell
12. Ben Trbojevic
13. Jake Trbojevic

14. Jake Simpkin
15. Tommy Talau
16. Ethan Bullemor
17. Toafofoa Sipley


Replacement:

18. Michael Chee Kam.


Reserves:

19. Clayton Faulalo
20. Caleb Navale - Development Player
21. Joey Walsh
22. Gordon Chan Kum Tong.


Out:

TBA.


Available But Not Selected:

• Chris Patolo
• Aaron Schoupp
• Raymond Tuaimalo Vaega
• Dean Matterson
• Aitasi James
• D’Jazirhae ‘Mia’ Pua'avase - Development Player
• Simione Laiafi - Development Player
• Zaidas Muagututia - Development Player.

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From the Manly Sea Eagles website, here is the ' Injury Update: Taniela Paseka' released on Tuesday, 25 March 2025:

Sea Eagles prop Taniela Paseka has undergone surgery to repair a ruptured Achilles tendon.

The 27-year-old suffered the injury midway through the first half of the Round 3 victory over the Raiders.

Taniela is aiming to be available to play in Round 25 this season following a 16–20-week recovery period.

Injury Update: Taniela Paseka

Sea Eagles prop Taniela Paseka has undergone surgery to repair a ruptured Achilles tendon.

www.seaeagles.com.au

From the 'NRL 2025, Injuries, Suspension Return Dates, Casualty Ward and Key Information for the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership Season' web page, Here is the Latest NRL Injured or Unavailable Update:

* * * (Updated: Tuesday, 01 July 2025) * * *

Sea Eagles forward, Nathan Brown has undergone surgery to repair a ruptured biceps tendon and is facing a lengthy spell on the sidelines.

Brown suffered the injury during the win over Wests Tigers and the club has confirmed he could be out for up to 12 weeks.

The 32-year-old has played 12 games off the bench for Manly in 2025 and offered plenty of impact when coach Anthony Seibold calls on him.

Manly Sea Eagles

• Tommy Talau (Hamstring, Round 18)
• Lachlan Croker (Concussion, Round 20)
• Haumole Olakau'atu (Shoulder, Round 20-21)
• Josh Aloiai (Shoulder, TBC)
• Taniela Paseka (Achilles, Round 26)
• Nathan Brown (Biceps, Finals)

NRL Casualty Ward: Metcalf's season over; Surgery for Brown

Warriors playmaker Luke Metcalf will miss the rest of the season after scans confirmed he ruptured his ACL against the Broncos while Manly forward Nathan Brown has undergone surgery to repair a ruptured biceps tendon.

www.nrl.com

Also, from the Official NRL Casualty Ward & Injury Information, Manly hub page, there are slight variations to the information regarding the unavailable or injured players and their return periods:

• Lachlan Croker (Concussion, Round 20)
• Haumole Olakau'atu (Shoulder, Round 21)
• Taniela Paseka (Achilles, Round 25)
• Josh Aloiai (Shoulder, TBC)
• Tommy Talau (Hamstring, TBC)
• Nathan (Biceps, Finals)

Casualty Ward

Check the Official NRL Casualty Ward, which players are injured, and who is expected to make their way back onto the field and in the game.

www.nrl.com

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[Mark from Brisbane]

A win we absolutely need , get this and I doubt we have any chance of the spoon , and in what has been a **** year that’ll at least be something to smile about.

 

[Sheikheagle]

Well one benefit is Latrell wont be available and you would imagine give me a tonguey will be selected for the blues as well

 

[The Wheel]

Looks like Cody Walker is out - done his hamstring tonight

 

[manly al]

Might be able to get something worthwhile going with Lodge and T K O starting then Bully and Sipps off the bench .
Lodge ideally still to up his game stamina level a bit but this combo ongoing again , probably the way to go
Navale for Brown maybe the only suitable option at this stage , not sure how to accommodate Talau with Simpkin quite likely on the bench as well and Garrick and Saab retained as wingers
May be able to use Jazz as a utility forward again and not include Navale with Talau instead but will just have to wait for the perceived priorities i guess .

 

[Phobia]

On present indications, depending on whether we get TDS early:

1. Hoppa
2. Saab
3. Koula
4. Turbo
5. Garrick
6. Brooks
7. D€E
8. Lodge
9. Simpkin
10. TKO
11. Waddell
12. Burbo
13. Jake
14. TDS
15. Bullemor
16. Tevaga
17. Sipley

Might end up being 9. Croker / 14. TDS, but I can't imagine them putting Croker straight back in, or dropping Simpkin. TDS may spend a week in NSW Cup too.

Bit rough on Talau. If he doesn't get injured prior to the game, he probably wouldn't have been dropped this week.

 

[Sheikheagle]

On present indications, depending on whether we get TDS early:

1. Hoppa
2. Saab
3. Koula
4. Turbo
5. Garrick
6. Brooks
7. D€E
8. Lodge
9. Simpkin
10. TKO
11. Waddell
12. Burbo
13. Jake
14. TDS
15. Bullemor
16. Tevaga
17. Sipley

Might end up being 9. Croker / 14. TDS, but I can't imagine them putting Croker straight back in, or dropping Simpkin. TDS may spend a week in NSW Cup too.

Bit rough on Talau. If he doesn't get injured prior to the game, he probably wouldn't have been dropped this week.

Talau‘s career at Manly is following a similar path to his Tigers. Plenty of promise but plenty of injuries

 

[ALinda]

Please may Simpkin be our starting 9 this week and Jazz at lock. They played there for the Broncs game so I say stick with it 🤞

 

[Budgie]

Am I wrong in thinking that Bennett absolutely owns Seibold? Has Seibold ever beaten him?

 

[BOZO]

Am I wrong in thinking that Bennett absolutely owns Seibold? Has Seibold ever beaten him?

The old Codger Bennett cant keep winning for ever
Surely Seibiold will kick the 75 year old Mans arse this time 🙂

 

[Phobia]

Am I wrong in thinking that Bennett absolutely owns Seibold? Has Seibold ever beaten him?

Manly 58
Dolphins 18

This is Seibold's biggest win as a coach.

 

[ManlyTragic]

Am I wrong in thinking that Bennett absolutely owns Seibold? Has Seibold ever beaten him?

Didn’t Seibold replace Bennett?

 

[manlyfan76]

South's beatable no doubt.
As last week it's upto our depleted forwards to win the middle.

 

[Disco]

A win we absolutely need , get this and I doubt we have any chance of the spoon , and in what has been a **** year that’ll at least be something to smile about.

We aint getting the spoon even if we lose this.

But important to keep us in the hunt for the 8.

 

[SeaEagleRock8]

Manly 58
Dolphins 18

This is Seibold's biggest win as a coach.

the kick for Tolu! We need more of that

 

[Disco]

We aint getting the spoon even if we lose this.

But important to keep us in the hunt for the 8.

Just furthermore on this, and for anyone legitimately concerned about winning the spoon, it is not a concern.

We are on 18 points with 10 rounds and 9 matches to go. The Titans are in last place with 12 points also with 9 games to play (plus 1 bye).

So lets say worst case scenario and we lose all 9 games, which would, despite a tougher run home, be a dramatic fall from grace considering we have won 47% of our games thus far. That would still mean the Titans would have to win 3 (and make up just over 180 PD) or more likely 4 games out of their remaining 9. This is essentially doubling their current win rate.

Now, the above is unlikely as it is, but say we don’t win another game and the Titans have a revival.

We are also 4 points clear of the Knights, Tigers, Eels and Rabbitohs., so you would need all of those teams most likely to make up 6 points on us (4 may be enough with PD). Now Knights and Rabbitohs have two byes each so a little easier but the fact remains still we are talking 4 clubs that in the last 5 rounds have won 3 of 18 matches. So a 16% win ratio that would need to increase evenly to over 30%

And this is not to mention those teams will play each other and cannibalize each others point scoring potential.

Essentially, the form of the entire comp would have to almost completely flip for us to win the spoon. It isn’t happening.

 

[Disco]

Just furthermore on this, and for anyone legitimately concerned about winning the spoon, it is not a concern.

We are on 18 points with 10 rounds and 9 matches to go. The Titans are in last place with 12 points also with 9 games to play (plus 1 bye).

So lets say worst case scenario and we lose all 9 games, which would, despite a tougher run home, be a dramatic fall from grace considering we have won 47% of our games thus far. That would still mean the Titans would have to win 3 (and make up just over 180 PD) or more likely 4 games out of their remaining 9. This is essentially doubling their current win rate.

Now, the above is unlikely as it is, but say we don’t win another game and the Titans have a revival.

We are also 4 points clear of the Knights, Tigers, Eels and Rabbitohs., so you would need all of those teams most likely to make up 6 points on us (4 may be enough with PD). Now Knights and Rabbitohs have two byes each so a little easier but the fact remains still we are talking 4 clubs that in the last 5 rounds have won 3 of 18 matches. So a 16% win ratio that would need to increase evenly to over 30%

And this is not to mention those teams will play each other and cannibalize each others point scoring potential.

Essentially, the form of the entire comp would have to almost completely flip for us to win the spoon. It isn’t happening.

Also, the record number of wins for a last place team was the Tigers last year with 6 wins.

We already have 7 wins

 

[Rocky]

Just furthermore on this, and for anyone legitimately concerned about winning the spoon, it is not a concern.

We are on 18 points with 10 rounds and 9 matches to go. The Titans are in last place with 12 points also with 9 games to play (plus 1 bye).

So lets say worst case scenario and we lose all 9 games, which would, despite a tougher run home, be a dramatic fall from grace considering we have won 47% of our games thus far. That would still mean the Titans would have to win 3 (and make up just over 180 PD) or more likely 4 games out of their remaining 9. This is essentially doubling their current win rate.

Now, the above is unlikely as it is, but say we don’t win another game and the Titans have a revival.

We are also 4 points clear of the Knights, Tigers, Eels and Rabbitohs., so you would need all of those teams most likely to make up 6 points on us (4 may be enough with PD). Now Knights and Rabbitohs have two byes each so a little easier but the fact remains still we are talking 4 clubs that in the last 5 rounds have won 3 of 18 matches. So a 16% win ratio that would need to increase evenly to over 30%

And this is not to mention those teams will play each other and cannibalize each others point scoring potential.

Essentially, the form of the entire comp would have to almost completely flip for us to win the spoon. It isn’t happening.

Spot on Disco

Incidentally the bookies have us at 25/1 to be in the bottom 4

Given half of the posters on here seem think we are a bottom 4 team that's got to be appealing to some

 

[nightster]

the kick for Tolu! We need more of that

That was the Schu, so sad

 

[Mark from Brisbane]

I think our last win secured this and I think we’ll beat the Bunnies also , so I’d agree @Disco , zero chance.

But I still think we’ll be around the 10th -14th , which given how positive I felt after the first few games is a real disappointment.