Thank you for posting feathered friend
This Seibold story is the Obvious perspective
To the Most Manly people this Obvious assessment of Seibold is as Obvious our third year underwhelming Crisis
To the few on here that keep defending him are also Obviously living is Denial
Manly aren’t just bad: they’re boring. Has Anthony Seibold been found out?
Mike Meehall Wood....
It was Bela Guttmann, one of the greatest soccer coaches of all time, who opined that the third year for a coach was fatal.
His theory was that, by then, either your dressing room had become sick of your voice or your opponents had worked you out – or both.
From Craig Bellamy to Alex Ferguson, there are countless examples of coaches who last a hell of a lot longer than three years, but crucially, they almost always engage in serious rearrangement around that time, shifting their message to keep things fresh.
It’s why you can watch 20 years of Bellamyball and not find a consistent style of play, because it always changed, a line that could also be used about Wayne Bennett, Ricky Stuart or, indeed, Fergie.
For coaches that are highly systematic, they change the personnel instead.
It’s why Ivan Cleary has an almost completely different roster to the one he did at the start of the Panthers run. Just 7 of the 17 2021 Premiers remain – even fewer than the 9 of the 17 Storm players from 2017 who remained to win again in 2020.
It’s why Trent Robinson so regularly chops and changes backroom staff. He has just one, Matt King, left from 2022’s cohort.
Those examples are also the successful guys, the ones who made it to three years. They’re the exception to the rule in that they won enough games to get a chance at changing things on their own terms.
In the NRL, the average coaching lifespan since 1998 is, you guessed it, two and a half to three years. After that, you either regenerate or leave.
This is all germane to Anthony Seibold at the Manly Sea Eagles. He’s deep in the third year blues and, if you listen to wise sources, has two games to save his job.
His side have lost to the worst two teams in the NRL, Newcastle and the Gold Coast, back to back, and are drifting listlessly with a 6-8 record through 14 games.
Given the talent available and the expectations, which are never far off sky high on the Northern Beaches, it’s a major underperformance.
With their draw and the challenges elsewhere in the league at different clubs, the top four was a minimum for 2025. Now, they’d be lucky just to make the finals at all.
Coaches survive for two reasons: they’re either winning, or they’re giving the impression that what they are doing will lead to wins at some point.
The second part usually falls into two camps: roster and style. Losing is bad, but you can lose with kids if supporters think that it’s the way to win in the future.